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CRAIG’S 2020 FALL FORECAST -
                              “A WARM FALL AHEAD?"

UPDATED 9/15/2020

INTRO
This is going to be a shorter update which will include the rest of September through November. Basically our “fall” season. Most of my focus coming up will be about our upcoming winter. Usually I release my “famous” winter predictions just before November 1st. Please check back toward the end of October for that particular blog & statistical predictions.

THIS FALL
Well, we did come into the “after Labor Day” season with a bang, quite a cold blast. And usually from my experience/memories, when we get this quick/early shot of below normal temps and we have freezes and frosts that early, it makes people really talk this way: “holy crap, we are this cold already, winter is going to be bad, its coming now, run!” So, then we tend to lock up into our houses too early and forget that we do have fall in-between summer & winter, right? So think positive - how about a warmer fall?

PREDICTION
I do predict we have a really nice fall ahead. From normal to above normal temps will be the most common, although of course, we will have some smacks in the face as usual for colder weather. But, again, overall, it will be above normal. I am willing to go out on a limb and say some 70 degree temps are possible through the first 20 days of October.

WHAT GIVES?
Analyzing the hurricane season... I believe is going to help me predict our winter this season more accurately. I will go more into this theory once I do release my winter blog & predictions. With this said, unfortunately at this time, it appears we could go into winter VERY quickly this season during the second half of November. So, we will be enjoying this really nice fall, then all of a sudden the rug is pulled out from under us. Think about this... at the time of this particular update, we have a couple of months left!

PRECIP?
I do believe we will be a bit dryer than normal in general from mid-September thru mid-November. Until the big blow hits for winter to start with quite a storm to brew the second half of November (mentioned above).

WHAT TO DO?
Enjoy for now, and brace for impact. A strong winter is likely in all categories, and if you are a big winter lover, it appears you will be fully satisfied from our La Nina watch that we do have right now. It is looking more and more likely La Nina will settle in.

Stay tuned, I will see you all at the end of October talking about winter!